Nondestructive inspection/evaluation (NDI/NDE) is used as a primary basis for assuring structural integrity, fitness for purpose and revalidation of structural integrity and fitness for purpose during maintenance and overhaul operations. The capability of an NDE procedure for finding flaws of a given size is dependent on multiple factors ranging from the condition and history of the test object, to the demonstrated capabilities of the NDE operator in applying the procedure. The introduction of fracture mechanics analysis in design applications has established requirements to quantify the capabilities of applied nondestructive inspection procedures for purposes of determining the "largest flaw that might be missed". That flaw size, in turn, becomes the starting point for fracture mechanics analysis and for crack growth in fatigue life analyses. It is clearly desirable to start with a very small flaw size. In recent years, considerable effort has been expanded in both meeting "attainable" flaw detection requirements and in improving NDI procedures capabilities to detect smaller flaws. Concurrently, considerable work has been directed toward methods of NDE capabilities demonstration and analysis to integrate the "probability of detection" (POD) of a given flaw size as a general engineering analysis parameter.
This paper provides an overview of the history and use of the probability of detection (POD) in general engineering and in NDE engineering, current work in this special technology; and some predicted directions for technology development and application.